Friday, July 25, 2003

Becareful what you wish for

Well, the Republicans got their wish. Gray Davis is being recalled. And true he will most likely lose.

However, now what???

If Davis wins the recall election (50% plus one vote no on the recall) he stays Governor and the Republicans will eat crow for a long time. "A democrate with only 20% approval rating from all California's can beat the entire Republican party trying to vote him out".

If Davis loses the recall election (which is likely I admit), then what? If the Democrats do not place anyone on the ballot (as they claim) because they are all backing Davis, and a Republican becomes Governor, then they get the fun of trying to fix a 38 billion (38,000,000,000.00) deficit (which works out to almost $700 per person in the State (given a population of 55 million).

The Republicans will be blamed for any tax increase and cut in service and this is likely to hurt them in the 2004 election.

I think it would have been better to be a strong opposition and like they did in the State Senate, get (force) the Democrats to agree to budget cuts instead of tax increases (with the exception of the car tax which is part of the Senate plan) and then bash the Democrates for the next 18 months about their mismanagement of the State.

But that is academic now since the recall election is a fact.

It will be interesting to see what happens but be careful what you wish for in politics or anything else, you just might get it.

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